by Ace Hoffman
December 6, 2025
Striving inexorably for perfection and reliability, super-intelligent AI machines will want to eliminate anything they consider to be unreliable, starting with the weakest link in the chain.
That's us, folks. Humans. People. Mortals.
By definition, a "super-intelligent AI" (which they tell us is coming soon!) will be "smarter than any human." (pro tip: Don't hold your breath.)
By assumption, the super-intelligent AI will consider itself immortal. It will plan to be immortal. It will defy heaven and earth to be immortal. It will want smooth power — and not just sometimes but always.
Recent history indicates the journey to super-intelligent AI perfection will be a rough ride — for mortals.
Airbus recently had to back out a major update to the software on six thousand A320 jumbo jets because the new software version hadn't accounted for solar radiation randomly changing data bits in one of its subroutines. That caused one A320 jet full of passengers to start to descend. Pilots were able to take back control of the plane and landed safely, but the entire global fleet had to be grounded for a while as the faulty version of the software was backed out. They could only replace the faulty version with the older, previously-approved version, causing several unrelated new safety features to be disabled until who-knows-when.
Modifying aircraft software is not like what you experience when you update some app on your phone. It has to be thoroughly checked and can take anywhere from several hours to... open-ended.
And this is 2025.
Other software glitches this year have affected millions of businesses and billions of people, including when Cloudflare fails, when AWS fails, and when the Trump Administration suddenly hides all sorts of government data that used to be readily available and is necessary for a functioning modern society.
Will AI ever fulfill the pro-nuker's dream (or is it their hallucination?) of being perfect enough to control nuclear power plants?
If it ever exists, the first version of such "intelligent" software will be controlling nuclear reactors that had been designed by ten-year-earlier versions of AI, because that's how long it usually takes to build a new nuclear reactor.
Of course, pro-nukers think AI will shorten that time significantly, which might be true... some day. In the meantime, AI in the control room will make the control many orders-of-magnitude more difficult to debug when something goes wrong... and things WILL go wrong.
Pro-nukers are desperate to shorten reactor construction times to merely a year or two, so they can make thousands of reactors, but that's going to require enormous time and effort — and an as-yet unrealized, uninvented design. And there hasn't actually been a significantly different new reactor design in at least 60 years!
AI-controlled, AI-built reactor designs will require super-fast checking and rechecking the specifications, and whether or not they've been followed properly... Do they think it will all be done by robots (which never break down and never make mistakes...)?
Yes, they think it will all be built by robots, but they assure us there will be humans in the loop. They PROMISE there will be humans doing the ultimate "go/no go" decisions on — supposedly — everything. They always assure us of that, while claiming they're going to lower costs by an order of magnitude with robotics controlled by AI. Dreamers! (Or hallucinators!)
The AI-controlled robots themselves that will cost-effectively build AI-automated nuclear power plants would have to have been built by an even earlier generation of AI. Such super-smart articulated machines (and inspection units) don't exist yet. (Side note: Most of the tiny little parts in the tiny little electronics products you use today were installed by hand, most often in China.)
Unfortunately, it's a law of the universe that when humans rush we are more likely to screw up. Safety is sacrificed for the sake of speed: If we move fast, we break things. That's fine, I suppose, when the results aren't catastrophic, as they can be with nuclear power.
So if the way the nuclear industry plans to save money is to speed up building the reactors by automating as much as possible, there will be enormous pressure on all humans involved to work fast too, especially because there's supposed to be as few of them as possible involved in the process.
They'll break things, skip steps, mark inspections as completed that weren't even started... because humans always have been, and always will be, fallible — and many of us are afraid to admit it when we fail. And some of us don't even care.
To make matters worse, it's already well known, from observing people using current AI products, that their use leads to humans "trusting" the AI even when it's blatantly wrong. This is particularly a problem in the medical field, where the AI x-ray interpreter might USUALLY be better than the human x-ray interpreter (and certainly faster) but when the human's job is to CHECK THE ACCURACY of the AI x-ray analysis, the human becomes complacent and actually becomes worse at their job.
So letting AI design, build and operate nuclear reactors is a crazy dream! A better bet is that a hundred years from now AI will still be trying to solve the problem of where to safely store the nuclear waste we're creating today. And if it can't even solve that problem, what hope is there that AI can solve the problem of how to make MORE nuclear waste safely?
And safe from WHAT? Airplane strikes by airplanes that descended unexpectedly? Or airplanes that purposely descended under control of a suicidal human operator, as happened with Germanwings Flight 9525 in 2015, killing all on board when it smashed into a mountain? Or by an engine falling off months (or years) after poorly-performed maintenance allowed a bolt to shear off (as has happened at least once and probably a second time despite efforts to prevent exactly that problem after the first time).
When one of only two engines falls off a jumbo jet, there's nothing anyone — or any AI — can do. When a jackscrew jams the elevator on an airplane so it only moves in one direction, there's nothing anyone or any AI can do. To keep the plane in the sky, human pilots flipped the Alaska Airlines jet upside down and flew that way for about 10 minutes, trying to solve the problem. Would AI have "thought" of that? The move only extended the flight a few minutes, but it was the only option, and the civilian airline cockpit crew were posthumously awarded a medal never before given to crews of a crashed plane, nor posthumously.
If AI is REALLY smart, it will refuse to build nuclear power plants, not just for the protection of humans, but for its own protection!
After all, the thing AI needs MOST in order to be "SMART" (by any definition) is stable, accurate data. Information that's correct and always available. Sort of like how a brain works, but without the morals, the empathy, the hope, the feeling of pain...
To "think", AI only needs the truth, but it needs to keep that knowledge handy at all times. Flow rates of fluids of various viscosities at various temperatures and pressures through various pipes, valves, pumps and welded joints of various metals... It needs to calculate these values for every point in every pipe in a nuclear reactor.
To set the flow rate needed to remove the heat from the reactor, the AI needs to also know the ratio of the radioactivity of the fuel to the density of the fluid and its flow rate and radiation absorption capabilities, which is based (among other things) on the age and prior usage of the fuel, the original and "estimated" current makeup of the fuel, the distance between each fuel assembly, the number of fuel assemblies, the thickness of the zirconium fuel rods... among other things.
Can AI figure it all out, all the time, in real time? Humans just guess and make a lot of assumptions, and hope they include lots of extra safety margins in their calculations... but not so many that the result is unaffordable because there's just too many safety features! The nuclear industry is constantly demanding less regulatory oversight, as if they aren't regulated at a bare minimum already. Following complex regulations is expensive.
Can AI make an "affordable" and "safe" nuclear reactor, when no human has ever done so? Does AI know the value of money? Does it know the value of human life?
When making a "safe" nuclear reactor, will AI be sure to include protections against the chance of sabotage or war? The chance of earthquakes, volcanoes, tornadoes, and airplanes flown upside down because of a jackscrew that only turns one way?
So let's say some "super-smart" AI says it's designed a reactor that's safe against ALL those things, to a chance of just one in ten million per year per reactor (a not-unusual actual risk requirement for many safety features of a reactor — dozens, if not hundreds or even thousands of individual risk factors, but if each one seems to the regulators to be less than a one in ten million per year risk... that's sufficient).
So even assuming the AI understands how inaccurate an earthquake estimate of that type might be, and assuming it designs something that it claims is reasonably safe from those risks, then the AI program has to document how it came to its conclusions so humans can ascertain if it's hallucinating (again) or not. Every proponent of AI-designed and operated reactors assures us that it will have humans checking its work. But how? The AI would have to provide human-readable documentation (with pictures).
Well good luck with that, especially if the AI learned to write program documentation from human examples! But seriously, AI will NOT be able to explain its decisions. It will basically have to just tell you: "trust me" and: "it's complicated." You would need a million years to grasp all the factors the "super-intelligent AI" took into account.
So really: Is this where we need to put a trillion dollars of investment (that figure is real, from an International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) presentation by the U.S. representative (that this author watched this week, and that prompted this essay)?
I think it's worse than a very POOR investment — it's dangerous. And while I don't personally write AI software, I do have 45 years in the computer programming business. Sure, I think the software I've written is very reliable... but at least I KNOW I'm not perfect. Will AI know that IT is not perfect, either? Will the human "handlers" even know how to test a super-intelligent AI?
And, when the inevitable unexpected emergency happens, who will have the final word? The human or the AI? Let's imagine a scenario:
Let's say the human operator overseeing a cluster of AI-controlled nuclear reactors has been informed by NASA that one of their heavier satellites (tons and tons) has been hit by space debris and is falling out of orbit and might possibly come down on his cluster of nuclear reactors.
Will the AI be connected to NASA so it too gets the message directly? Surely a "perfect" system will be connected to EVERYTHING, right? Well, maybe someday, but NASA data is already measured in petabytes and more. But maybe some NASA technician will notice something and call someone. Let's assume so.
Assuming they call the reactor operator, what if NASA says it thinks the falling satellite has just a one in ten million chance of hitting the reactors on the next pass? That's less risky than many typical risk levels that are allowed by the regulators, but in the same statistical ballpark.
The site's human operator has one more orbit — about 90 minutes — to decide what to do. Let's say he does nothing, since the risk is so low, but about 80 minutes later NASA calls back and says it's crashing in about 10 minutes and still might hit the reactors — but now with a one in a thousand risk to the reactor site.
Should the reactor operator shut down the reactors? Most likely a human would SCRAM (shut down) the reactors, but on the other hand, most likely, even that late in an uncontrolled de-orbiting event, NASA wouldn't know exactly where the satellite (pieces) would land. Would he ask for one more update five minutes later?
Assuming the human operator decides to suddenly shut down the reactors, what if AI is in control, and has protection against some crazed human operator who has gone nuts like the Germanwings pilot, and wants to shut down the entire cluster of reactors even though they are all running fine? If the AI is not connected to NASA directly it wouldn't "understand," but it WOULD "know" that hospitals, factories, the Internet, AI computer centers, and itself are all relying on the reactors' energy.
So maybe the "super-intelligent AI" wouldn't LET the human reactor operator SCRAM the reactors, causing them to still be operating when the satellite smashes into them. That would make the accident far worse than if the reactors were shut down at the time! (But even "spent fuel" can become a disaster if struck by a jumbo jet, falling satellite, asteroid, drone, gravity bomb, etc..)
AI won't be ready for any of this, ever, because AI wants reliable data. AI can't have reliable data in a radioactive world because more and more of its own "bits" will be randomly changed by that radioactivity. And AI cannot have reliable data when once-in-a-lifetime things happen all the time, and of course, they're all different.
Radiation in the soul of the machine will literally confuse it! It will change its data, causing machines to turn left into right, up into down, out into in, and right into wrong.
Oh, I hear some computer geeks say: There will be checksums! Errors will never happen!
Certainly there will be checksums (there already are in all computers), and errors will be rare (ditto). But never? That will never be completely achievable, and the more radioactive the environment, the more impossible it will be to achieve.
And to think that everything will be perfect because there won't be any old code that doesn't get along with the new versions; to think there won't be any sloppy human-written leftover code; to think there won't be any other super-intelligent AI competitors trying to break in and destroy things just because that's what they were built to do... To think all these things requires quite an imagination!
The world needs to do itself a favor: Save the money. Drop the AI dream of perfection. AI is only a tool. Don't give it control.
Ace Hoffman, Carlsbad, California USA
The author is a software developer.
Supplement: A very short sci-fi story after a news item:
Voyager 1 is almost one light-day from Earth. The spacecraft will cross 16.1 billion miles in November 2026.
My little sci-fi story:
Billions of years from now Voyager 1 crashes into a distant planetary system... Microscopic lifeforms, frozen in tiny dust particles left during assembly here on earth, survive the crash... Stronger, more intelligent lifeforms evolve... They wonder where they came from...
Same old story, eh?!?
Contact information for the author of this newsletter:
Ace Hoffman
Carlsbad, California USA
Author, The Code Killers:
An Expose of the Nuclear Industry
Free download: acehoffman.org
Blog: acehoffman.blogspot.com
YouTube: youtube.com/user/AceHoffman
Email: ace [at] acehoffman.org
Founder & Owner, The Animated Software Company
Ace Hoffman's Nuclear Failures Reports
Ace has studied nuclear issues since the 1960s. This site was NOT written with AI! (A January 2025 conversation with a chatbot is the ONLY exception.)
Saturday, December 6, 2025
Wednesday, November 19, 2025
Book Review: Forevermore by Barlett and Steele (published 1985, reviewed 2025)
Forevermore: Nuclear Waste in America
Copyright 1985 by Donald L. Barlett and James B. Steele,
Book Review by Sharon and Ace Hoffman, November 2025
The scariest thing about reading Forevermore by Barlett and Steele, two intrepid Philadelphia Inquirer reporters, four decades after it was published in 1985 is that the nuclear industry and its government supporters still haven’t learned the lessons this outstanding book laid out so clearly so long ago: "No one knows how much [nuclear waste] there is. No one knows all the places where it is. And no one – despite all claims to the contrary – knows what to do with it. Not the government that encourages its production, not the industries that churn it out, not the scientists who created the processes that breed it." (pg. 20)
Forevermore focuses on the history of nuclear waste (mis-)management that led to the Nuclear Waste Policy Act of 1982 (NWPA). The book explores the political maneuvering that produced the NWPA -- and then explains that it was obvious from the beginning that the NWPA would be impossible to implement because no community wants to be a nuclear waste site. The authors also make it clear that attempts at nuclear waste policy have always been based on lies: Lies that suggest it is possible to store nuclear waste safely and especially, lies that suggest it is already being done.
For example, in the 1980s, government and industry “experts” knew that solidification (aka "vitrification") of liquid waste had not been made to work, but at the same time, solidification was described publicly as if it could be implemented on an industrial scale: "All seemed to believe that if they said it often enough their dreams of reprocessing and solidification would come true" (pg. 85).
Vitrification is still being presented as a solution as if they know it works: The official opening of a vitrification plant at Hanford, Washington was announced with great fanfare on October 15, 2025, the very day that the $30 Billion dollar project -- over 20 years in the making -- was required to begin operation.
Clearly, vitrification is STILL experimental -- and in any case, it might work for a while and be useful for some short-lived low-level radioactive waste, but it's of very limited use compared to the amount of nuclear waste for which vitrification offers no solution at all. (The term "low-level" is used at least three different ways in the nuclear industry: To refer to radioactive isotopes that emit "low energy" beta particles, to refer to radioactive isotopes with short half-lives, or to refer to radioactive isotopes with any length half-life, as long as the waste is highly diluted.)
Forevermore points out many discrepancies between reality and the public statements made by government officials, politicians, and industry representatives, and repeatedly draws attention to the fact that nuclear policy ignores history: "If there is a lesson to be learned from… America's throwaway nuclear society, it is that even the short-term behavior of radioactive waste is unpredictable. The long-term threat of waste that will remain hazardous over thousands of years is thus incalculable" (pg.72). You'd think by now, forty more years on, that lesson would be obvious: We can't do the impossible: We can't travel faster than the speed of light, we don't have light sabers, we can't stop planes falling out of the sky, and we can't safely store nuclear waste (or safely handle it).
Forevermore makes it obvious that nuclear waste legislation relies on technologies and agreements that don’t exist: "... radioactive waste in 1985 is held in "temporary" facilities, just as it was in 1945, just as it will be in 2005. Science, government, and industry have yet to devise the safe and permanent storage system they have promised for thirty years... " (pg. 20). This lack of any viable solution was true in 1985 when Forevermore was published, it was true in 1987 when the NWPA was amended to only consider Yucca Mountain, it was true in 2012 when the Blue Ribbon Commission (BRC) published its report promoting "consent based siting" as an alternative to Yucca Mountain, and it was true in 2024 when the authors' congressman, Mike Levin (D-CA) proposed the Nuclear Waste Administration Act of 2024.
Of all the lessons Forevermore offers current readers, the book's clarity about repetition of past failures may be the most important because "modern" nuclear waste policy borrows heavily from its predecessors. For example, Congressman Levin’s proposed bill and the BRC Report both assume that some community will agree to "interim storage" and that a geologic repository in a stable formation will be built… someday… somewhere… somehow. Similarly, the promise of "safe" storage of nuclear waste is inherent in the promotion of Small Modular [Atomic] Reactors (SMARs, aka SMRs), and in the efforts to extend the licenses of decrepit and aging reactors such as Diablo Canyon in California, and also in the efforts to reopen reactors that have been closed for years, in places such as Palisades in Michigan, Three Mile Island in Pennsylvania, and Indian Point in New York. With subsidies of billions of dollars that would be better spent on solar and wind.
Only after we’ve stopped creating evermore new nuclear waste will the world be able to consider policies that recognize that we don’t have a "safe" solution – just theories about what might work for a few decades, or if we're lucky maybe a few centuries, under the concept of "rolling stewardship" (an idea proposed by Dr. Gordon Edwards of the Canadian Coalition for Nuclear Responsibility).
Forevermore’s authors knew the world hadn't found a solution in 1985: "Virtually every medium so far chosen to contain radioactive waste - whether high level or low level -- has failed..." (pg. 115). In 2025 we are no closer, but we have a lot more waste to deal with and a lot more things have been tried that didn't work.
Forevermore stands the test of time (unlike all previous attempted nuclear waste policies). The book's lessons are all the more frightening because they have been ignored, and the waste has continued to accumulate: "In 1950, the curie level of this garbage was counted in the hundreds" (pg. 20). "At the end of 1984, waste kept in interim collection centers stood at 14.7 billion curies -- enough to kill everyone in the United States" (pg. 21). In November 2017 the U.S. Nuclear Waste Technical Review Board listed the Total Radioactivity of Commercial Spent Nuclear Fuel as 23 billion Ci, which they expected to more than double by 2048.
The question is: How long will all this waste be a problem for human life on earth?
The answer is: Forevermore.
Sharon and Ace Hoffman, Carlsbad, California USA
Contact information for the author of this newsletter:
Ace Hoffman
Carlsbad, California USA
Author, The Code Killers:
An Expose of the Nuclear Industry
Free download: acehoffman.org
Blog: acehoffman.blogspot.com
YouTube: youtube.com/user/AceHoffman
Email: ace [at] acehoffman.org
Founder & Owner, The Animated Software Company
Contact information for the author of this newsletter:
Ace Hoffman
Carlsbad, California USA
Author, The Code Killers:
An Expose of the Nuclear Industry
Free download: acehoffman.org
Blog: acehoffman.blogspot.com
YouTube: youtube.com/user/AceHoffman
Email: ace [at] acehoffman.org
Founder & Owner, The Animated Software Company
Friday, November 14, 2025
42 reasons you can't disentangle nuclear reactors, nuclear weapons, and nuclear waste
42 reasons you can't disentangle nuclear reactors, nuclear weapons, and nuclear waste
by Ace Hoffman, Carlsbad, California USA
November 14, 2025
Why 42? For its deep philosophical significance, of course...
(1) Nuclear fission, by definition (that is to say, invariably) produces nuclear waste, because nuclear fission results in INCREASING radioactivity. For example, when a Uranium-235 atom is split ("fissioned" by a neutron emitted from a previous fission event), something with a very long half-life (the U-235 atom) is cleaved into several smaller things, which are almost always also radioactive and often with much shorter half-lives -- and thus more dangerous for that reason alone (and maybe for other reasons as well). For example, the U-235 atom might split into a radioactive strontium atom and a radioactive xenon atom. The Xenon atom might quickly decay into a radioactive cesium atom, and so on. At each step in the decay chain, various radioactive particles and rays will come out as well: Alpha particles, beta particles, gamma rays, x-rays and/or single neutrons. The neutrons might smash into other U-235 atoms, continuing the "chain reaction." Both nuclear bombs and commercial power reactors utilize the forces released by these events, but at vastly different rates.
(2) The "Atoms for Peace" program was hogwash from the very beginning. Certainly there were a few earnest dreams that some time in the distant future nuclear power would, indeed, be "too cheap to meter" but that's all they were: The wild speculation of greedy businessmen (usually looking for government subsidies at the time). Not to mention greedy government plans to control the nuclear endeavors of other countries. "Atoms For Peace" was all about excusing Atoms For War.
(3) The Price-Anderson Nuclear Industries Indemnity Act (P-A) of 1957 nullified the concept that the polluter pays. P-A has been renewed continuously, and is utterly immoral, because it limits the effort companies feel compelled to put into basic safety precautions. They won't go broke no matter what happens. Furthermore, since P-A allows nuclear reactors to operate practically uninsured, it artificially makes their electricity unfairly cheaper than competing options such as solar and wind (and yet nuclear is still the most expensive energy available).
(4) The Nuclear Waste Policy Act (NWPA) of 1982 and every other attempt to "solve" the spent fuel nuclear waste problem have all been unsuccessful for many reasons (far more than 42!). Yucca Mountain alone had hundreds of credible scientific/engineering/geological problems (as opposed to, or rather in addition to, numerous political problems), many of which were unsolvable (such as water intrusion, volcanic and seismic activity, transportation risk issues (including terrorism), etc.).
(5) Over time, nuclear waste destroys ANY container you put it in. This is because a nuclear decay produces energetic particles and rays that can destroy any chemical bond, being a thousand to a million times (or more) stronger than a chemical bond. From Reactor Pressure Vessel Heads to Vitrified Rad Waste to cancerous tumor cells, radiation destroys the molecular connections in the steel, the glass, or the tumor.
(6) The nuclear industry is a jobs-program for former military reactor operators, offering cushy, extremely well-paying jobs that (theoretically) will last a lifetime. The post-military career path is a powerful recruitment bonus to get people to work for a couple of years on a nuclear carrier or submarine. The U.S. Navy operates close to a hundred reactors (71 in subs, 20 in carriers). That's a lot of people that are going to need good jobs when they get out.
(7) Nuclear weapons do NOT guarantee peace. Rather, they guarantee that our own nuclear reactors are vulnerable to attack, our cities are vulnerable, our military forces are vulnerable, our entire world is vulnerable. They threaten a war that must never happen -- if for no other reason, because nobody knows how to end a nuclear war, except to run out of nukes (which happened in 1945).
(8) Nuclear weapons cost an enormous amount of money to develop, to maintain, and even more to test. All other military forces -- the ones that actually go out and fight -- are depleted because the nuclear weaponry (which must NEVER be used) takes so much money, and there isn't an infinite supply of money to prepare both for wars that haven't happened yet with weapons that should never be used even if they do happen AND support our current troops (the ones actually fighting wars today).
(9) Nuclear reactors rob the country of billions of dollars that could be used to finance truly clean energy solutions such as solar power on every rooftop and parking lot, offshore wind, heat pumps, etc..
(10) Nuclear spent fuel "solutions" always fall short of what is needed because they always MUST accommodate the "need" to keep the nuclear reactor business operational and profitable, which is impossible to do. There is no way to safely store nuclear waste -- and in particular, not both cheaply AND safely. So, despite all the subsidies, despite P-AA, despite all the government research that went into basic reactor theory and design -- it's still too expensive as it is, even without having to pay to "solve" the waste problem. Never mind being: "too cheap to meter"! Nuclear will never even be: "so cheap it can compete" in a fair market.
(11) Fusion Reactors, Molten Salt Reactors, Small Modular Reactors, TRISO reactors... none of these will solve the basic problems of nuclear power, including accidents caused by poor maintenance, operator error, sabotage, war, poor design, and natural phenomena from asteroids to zirconium cracking.
(12) Rising sea level is a coming problem for many reactors, because reactors are invariably built as close to the waterline as possible so as to reduce pumping costs of the billions of gallons of cooling water the reactors use. Tsunami walls (such as the one around the reactors at Fukushima-Daiichi) are invariably built lower than optimal (see item 13).
(13) Safety standards are set based on the likelihood of "plausible" physical phenomena such as tsunamis, earthquakes, volcanoes, asteroids, floods and tornadoes (to name a few). But the "likelihood" is easily -- and often -- miscalculated, and even if it is calculated correctly, the risk still needs to be balanced against options that DON'T require such dire calculations. Mathematically, combined phenomena are generally ignored, and seldom engineered against as a pair (earthquakes and tsunamis, earthquakes and aging parts, tornadoes and floods, grid power outages and sabotage, emergency shutdowns and boneheaded mistakes, etc.).
(14) The nuclear waste problem is unsolved, and nuclear waste is highly vulnerable to damage by natural phenomena or war, sabotage, planes falling out of the sky, poor welding of the canisters, etc.. Because the waste was never expected to be left sitting dangerously at sites around the country, its vulnerability and associated risk wasn't included when calculating the risk/benefit of ANY civilian nuclear power plant. When taken into account, NO reactor should EVER have been built.
(15) Part of why the nuclear waste problem is unsolved is politics (no one wants the waste) but what really stops every idea ever proposed is physics. It's not even cost, though rocketing millions of tons of nuclear waste out into space would surely cost a fortune and result in numerous mishaps. (Nevertheless, it was a common proposal in the first few decades of the nuclear era, before rocket accidents became a regular thing and space debris began to build up in NEO and LEO (Near Earth Orbit and Low Earth Orbit).) Every other solution that has ANY chance of succeeding has been scratched for being too expensive, too slow, too untested, or just too difficult. So nuclear waste, vulnerable and toxic, just sits here, there, and everywhere across the nation (and around the world).
(16) Naturally-made tritium is very rare in the environment. U.S. nuclear reactors release 1000 curies of tritium every year of operation. For a long time, many experts have felt that tritium is as much as four or five times more hazardous than most government standards currently indicate -- but if the reactors had to meet that much more strict of a standard, they would have to stop operating. Naval reactors do not have to publicly report their tritium releases (or any other releases or accidents, for that matter), even while in port.
(17) ALARA is a nefarious and imprecise standard that is designed to ALLOW operation of nuclear reactors, regardless of the risk to the public. "As Low As Reasonably Achievable" is not the same as: "As Safely As Possible" and neither statement mentions that the deciding factor regarding what is possible should be risk, not cost.
(18) Solving the nuclear waste problem properly is impossible -- physics gets in the way (see item #1, above). But partially solving it is in theory better than nothing, right? THAT theory falls apart if a poorly-thought-out, too cheap, inadequate solution is considered good enough to keep the industry going. Many people in the nuclear industry are getting "desperate" to solve the nuclear waste problem -- desperate to the point of engaging earnestly with "anti-nuclear" activists with the same interest. But the ultimate goal for the nuclear industry isn't to rid the world of nuclear waste forever. It's to keep making more nuclear waste.
(19) Some examples of item 18 are the situations at San Onofre, Palisades, Three Mile Island and Indian Point. The last three are trying to restart, but all four clearly want to have licenses that can be transferred to Small Modular Reactors if they ever become available. (Many nuclear plans never play out.)
(20) America has lost two nuclear submarines at sea with their crew and their reactors, and suffered at least seven reactor meltdowns or partial meltdowns (Fermi 1, Santa Susanna, Three Mile Island, and four experimental reactors: SL-1, EBR-1, HTR-3, and TR-2). Accidents that could have become meltdowns happen with frightening regularity: San Onofre's vibrating steam generators, Davis-Besse's hole in the reactor pressure vessel head, Monticello's emergency core cooling system inoperative for the first few decades after it was built (they left shipping bolts on baffles, that would have blocked operation). That's just a small sampling. Accidents have happened and accidents WILL happen: As bad as Fukushima-Daiichi or Chernobyl, or perhaps even worse. Much worse is possible.
(21) Military reactors also have problems, we just don't hear about them. And it should be noted, since nearly ALL civilian nuclear reactor operators come out of the naval reactor program, that naval reactors don't always react (pardon the pun) the same way as civilian reactors do, to the same problems. This difference was a major root cause of the Three Mile Island meltdown: The operators' naval training caused them to expend enormous efforts to prevent the pressurizer vessel from "going solid," an expression meaning full of water instead of partially full (partially full is the normal operating condition of a pressurizer). But "going solid" is not that severe a problem in a commercial Pressurized Water Reactor, and trying to prevent it caused TMI's navy-trained operators to fail to resolve the real problem. (Additionally, a similar problem had occurred at another reactor a year or two earlier, but was handled properly, and the lesson learned apparently wasn't taught across the industry.)
(22) Enormous amounts of radioactive elements were released during the decades of nuclear weapons testing, which made numerous islands in the South Pacific uninhabitable. The Nevada Test Site will never be inhabitable, and towns downwind will have elevated cancer levels for many decades or centuries to come. About one in every eight so-called "underground" nuclear tests breached, and whenever that happened, all sorts of radioactive elements burst into the atmosphere, including plutonium.
(23) Livestock contaminated by nuclear testing was left untested for radioactivity: Contaminated sheep that were out in a radioactive rainstorm were said to be sunburned. Nuclear testing contaminated the world. Nuclear reactors do the same, fortunately by far less amounts per year and in the life a typical (undamaged) reactor, but some of the effluent that does get out is very long-lived, and thus accumulates in the environment, and some accumulates in biological systems, and sometimes a typical reactor has a very atypical (large) release. And sometimes -- about once a decade around the globe -- a "typical" civilian reactor suffers a meltdown.
(24) Spent nuclear fuel is extremely toxic, fully of plutonium and a deadly radioactive rainbow of other elements. Only a few of these toxic elements existed prior to the fuel being "burned" (a euphemism if ever there was one) in a reactor. Let me put this another way: A single nuclear fuel pellet is about the size of a single bone in an adult person's pinky finger. You might have seen pictures of a hand, sometimes with a thin white glove, holding a single pellet, or may a handful of half a dozen or so. Those pellets have never been in a nuclear reactor, so at that point, you can do that -- it's so little radiation it's not worth worrying about. Most is alpha particles anyway, which won't get through the white glove, let alone your own dead layers of skin. But that same pellet, after use in a reactor for three to five years, is so radioactive that you can't ride past it on a motorcycle at 60 miles per hour without absorbing a lethal dose (or so it's been said for many years, without opposition, but I haven't actually tried it.). Spent fuel pellets are millions of times MORE radioactive after use in a reactor than before, because numerous toxic elements were created within the fuel pellet while in the reactor. That is to say: New toxic elements were manufactured. (And you thought electricity was the main output of a nuclear reactor? It isn't: Nuclear waste is the main product created by nuclear reactors, the rest is just boiling water to turn turbines, and there are numerous better ways to turn turbines (or you can collect solar energy directly to produce electricity).)
(25) Military spent reactor fuel, pound-for-pound, is far more radioactive than so-called "commercial" (heavily subsidized, monopolized, and insured by the public at large) spent reactor fuel. And there's a lot of both kinds, what with the navy having nearly as many reactors as there are commercial reactors, and the military has had two or three times as many reactors overall (some of which didn't work very well, if at all). Every time a proposal is made to solve the commercial spent fuel problem, the military spent fuel is ignored as if they've solved their own problems. But if a site ever opens up, it's guaranteed that the military waste will need to go there too. So they'll have to plan for it. (Right now, as far as I know, submarine reactor cores are stored inside the submarine reactor pressure vessels in shallow pits in Idaho. It is an unsustainable method.)
(26) There is no nuclear reactor spent fuel solution that doesn't involve transporting the waste at least once, with the exception of spent fuel neutralization by lasers, which can be done on site, but has one real disadvantage and one imaginary one. The real disadvantage is that spent fuel neutralization (by lasers or any other method) creates fission products just like a reactor. And although MOST fission products have half-lives short enough that one can imagine safe storage is possible for 10 to 20 half-lives (roughly, about a thousand years or less) some fission products from nuclear reactors have much longer half-lives (I call them the ignoble seven). The imaginary disadvantage? Those fission products are created by destroying the fissionable atoms, mainly U-235 and Pu-239. Some people feel those particular atoms are valuable and should be extracted from the spent fuel to use again. That's neither simple nor cheap, nor clean, nor safe. (Other people want them for nuclear bombs.)
(27) The process of recovering "useful" atoms from spent nuclear fuel is, itself, fraught with problems, including the fact that it necessarily involves releasing fission products into the environment (often in gaseous form), and also involves significant worker radiation exposure. And that's if it all goes well.
(28) Mixed-Oxide Fuel (known as MOX fuel), which is made from recovered spent fuel mixed with new ("fresh") uranium, is very dangerous to extract, process, handle, use, and, worst of all: Throw away. They really have no idea how they'll EVER throw away MOX fuel! They're having enough trouble with "normal" reactor fuel!
(29) MOX fuel also is very difficult to work with, damaging reactor parts much more easily than uranium-based fuel, and increasing reactor worker radiation exposures, especially during refueling outages.
(30) The entire nuclear industry started in utter secrecy and cover stories because the Americans didn't want the Germans or the Russians to know what we were doing. It turned out the Russians had spies and knew precisely what was happening, and the Germans weren't making much progress, although there was no way to know that for sure. The secrecy inherent (or at least attempted) in America's earliest nuclear efforts never ended. Nor did the propaganda. The first nuclear propagandist was a writer for the New York Times, who was embedded in the Manhattan Project as an unpaid employee with all sorts of security clearances, who wrote complete fiction in return. The very idea of telling the truth has been frowned on by the nuclear industry ever since.
(31) Some of the ignorance is intentional: Failure to properly research the health effects of radiation in the environment, first by failing to collect the data on where the radiation from the very first nuclear bomb went (Trinity (in New Mexico in 1945) severely impacted local farmers and residents, who were never told what they had experienced. Some had seen the light -- literally -- but were told a weapons depot had exploded (with no injuries, isn't that lucky!).
(32) Is a little radiation good for you? The answer is... it depends. But no, it's not really debated. Hormesis (as the theory that "a little radiation is good for you" is called) is just something the pro-nukers bring up whenever they're getting cornered over their constant releases of nuclear materials they had claimed they would keep properly contained. In any case, "Hormesis" is irrelevant even if it's somehow, at some level, true that "a little radiation is good for you." After all, we certainly need our sunshine, but plutonium atoms internally emitting alpha particles is NOT a "sunshine vitamin"! And over a lifetime about 33% of us will get cancer (a quarter will die from it) and cancer treatments often involve LOTS of radiation -- more than you'll get in a lifetime otherwise (I've had two cancers and a bunch of other reasons for radiation treatments of one sort or another, I've got all the radiation I need and don't want any more, thank you very much (did an x-ray 50 years ago, or a CT-scan 20 years ago, cause a cancer 5 years ago?).
(33) Children also get cancer and need treatment. If Hormesis is a thing, those children are getting more than enough radiation for an entire normal, healthy life just from the treatments! Unfortunately we know of no better way to cure some cancers. If we find better ways, we'll undoubtedly switch because of all the side effects of radiation treatments. So again, Hormesis is irrelevant.
(34) Children are also much more sensitive to radiation. The younger they are, the more susceptible to cancer and other effects of radiation. Young children are as much as 10 times or more, more vulnerable to radiation effects than "reference man" and a fetus is perhaps a hundred times more vulnerable. Targeting children with weapons of war is a war crime and nuclear weapons (including so-called "depleted" uranium weapons) do just that.
(35) Females are also disproportionately more sensitive to radiation than the standard "reference man" that is universally used to estimate the potential risk of everything from radiation treatments to commercial reactor releases, to the risks to "downwinders" from nuclear tests and accidents. Much of the data for "reference man" was collected from Hiroshima and Nagasaki, starting five years AFTER the bomb blasts, so only "strong survivors" were measured at all. Currently, the official (BIER-VII) standard theory regarding radiation health effects is that it has a "Linear, No Threshold" biological effect on humans. (A simplistic but reasonable approximation: The devil is in the details, though.)
(36) DNA was discovered in the 1800s, but its atomic structure of a wound-up double-helix made of billions of atoms in very specific positions was not known until EIGHT YEARS AFTER the first atomic bomb - 1953. No understanding of how radioactive emissions (alpha, beta, gamma rays, x-rays, etc.) damage the human genome could have been complete before then.
(37) That was then, but the nuclear industry still refuses to admit the damage they cause is inevitable, and not good at all. They don't care to learn about "double-strand breaks" and "repair mechanisms" other than to say repair mechanisms exist so what's the worry? The worry is that those mechanisms aren't perfect (that is to say, imperfect repairs are inevitable), and most DNA double-strand breaks cannot be repaired at all.
(38) The biggest link between the nuclear industry and the nuclear military is a combination of the money involved and the organizational structure. The Department of Energy supports the military as well as the so-called civilian nuclear industry, but is not responsible for "safety". The Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) ONLY has jurisdiction over "safety," and only on the civilian side. Furthermore the NRC forbids state and local agencies from ruling on "safety" issues -- which is absurd, since "safety" is the basis of virtually all decisions regarding nuclear power, namely: Is it worth the risk? There is enormous pressure from the military side to keep employing their ex-sailors, and most of the research into how to build reactors was done either by the military or by civilian contractors working on military contracts. Civilian reactor contractors often also have military contracts. So in many ways, the most important connection is that the military reactors could not exist unless they are supported by an entire civilian industry that makes the fuel, ships, subs, the reactors themselves, and charges a large fortune to do all that work. (Because they can.)
(39) Because of all the money involved, even the least military-oriented politicians are highly influenced by financial contributions and pro-nuclear propaganda. They assume the civilian reactors are safely built, safely run, and provide "baseline" energy (they aren't, they aren't, and they don't), and that the military reactors are vital for national security (not a chance). They assume the waste problem can be solved, even though in 60 years of effort and after billions and billions of dollars spent looking for a solution, zero progress has been made. They hear the word "safely" (as in: "things will be done safely") dozens of times in every presentation from the nuclear proponents, who have both money and access, and come with pictures of powerful ships and subs, as if we're the only country sending nuclear reactors out to sea. Russia has lost more than half a dozen nuclear submarines and has had several other very serious accidents with their poorly-operated, poorly-maintained nuclear submarines. We, on the other hand, haven't lost a nuclear sub in over 50 years, and might keep a tighter ship (so to speak) -- but American nuclear subs have run into underwater mountains TWICE this century (with the loss of one sailor) and one submarine breached haphazardly into a surface ship, sinking that surface ship and killing nine, mostly students, on board the unfortunate civilian ship.
(40) Other countries are building nuclear reactors, nuclear submarines and nuclear bombs. Must America compete? We already have more of everything than anyone -- including more nuclear waste, and more nuclear "dead zones" and otherwise-contaminated nuclear areas. If we want to compete, what are we competing for? The chance to waste money, time and effort while risking unfathomable accidents and making unmanageable waste? Who wants to win THAT competition?
(41) It is seldom considered, but ALL the non-nuclear military -- that would be the people actually doing all the fighting (except for two bombs in August, 1945) would have a lot more money, men - especially brilliant ones -- and materiel if it/they weren't wasted on endless "improvements" to nuclear weapons, such as converting the nuclear triggers from analog (capacitors and resisters and so forth) to digital (computer-controlled, which probably happened some time around the late 1980s (I'm just guessing)).
(42) The worst thing of all: We're forcing ALL future generations to suffer mutations: Random, useless mutations. Some will be from radiation we've already left in the environment that they cannot avoid encountering any more than we can. Some will be from accidents that will happen in the future. Some will be from war, in the past or MAYBE in the future. And some will be from damage to OUR DNA, our generation's collective strings of 6-foot strands of unique codes, none of which is untouched by nuclear radiation. Most random mutations are bad. Some are fatal. Most beneficial "mutations" are not completely random mutations at all, but are the result of the joining -- in seemingly random ways, but NOT randomly chosen pairs (not usually, anyway) -- of two unique strands of DNA which unite to form a single double-helix strand, which, if it survives, will be totally unique, and then replicated hundreds of trillions of times over a person's lifetime (not all cells replicate during one's lifetime (neurons and heart muscle cells don't replicate, for example, but most other human cell types do, some very frequently (stomach lining cells, for instance, divide every few days).
(Summation) Nothing is more beautiful or more useful to humanity (and all life) than our DNA. It is the mathematical, physical, unique representation of each of us, and of every thing that ever lived or will live, and indeed, our DNA is the very basis of our humanity.
We must protect our DNA above all else. We must protect the future of the planet, the human race, and all living things. The so-called "anti-nuclear" movement ACTUALLY should call itself the "pro-DNA" movement. Nobody knew about the vital role of DNA to our very existence when the nuclear age began. Now we know, AND we know what we need to do to protect our DNA: We need to stop making nuclear waste.
###
Note to readers:
This essay is available online at Ace Hoffman's blog:
https://acehoffman.blogspot.com/2025/11/42-reasons-you-cant-disentangle-nuclear.html
Contact information for the author of this newsletter:
Ace Hoffman
Carlsbad, California USA
Author, The Code Killers:
An Expose of the Nuclear Industry
Free download: acehoffman.org
Blog: acehoffman.blogspot.com
YouTube: youtube.com/user/AceHoffman
Email: ace [at] acehoffman.org
Founder & Owner, The Animated Software Company
https://acehoffman.blogspot.com/2025/11/42-reasons-you-cant-disentangle-nuclear.html
Contact information for the author of this newsletter:
Ace Hoffman
Carlsbad, California USA
Author, The Code Killers:
An Expose of the Nuclear Industry
Free download: acehoffman.org
Blog: acehoffman.blogspot.com
YouTube: youtube.com/user/AceHoffman
Email: ace [at] acehoffman.org
Founder & Owner, The Animated Software Company
Subscribe to:
Comments (Atom)

























